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2: Essential Questions
3: How is Weather Predicted?
4: Weather Forecasting
5: Forecast Methods
6: Forecasting Rules of Thumb
7: What Do You Think?
8: What Do You Think?
9: Weather Models
10: U.S. Weather Models
11: How Models are Created
12: Forecast Chart Comparison
13: Why Aren’t Forecasts Always Right?
14: Forecast Difficulty: The Big Picture
15: Predicting Weather
16: WeatherSTEM Fusion: Using Past Weather
17: What Do You Think?
18: What Do You Think?
19: Predicting Weather
20: Graded Assignment
21: Key Points: Weather Forecasting
Forecast Difficulty: The Big Picture
Even with a perfect model and increased observations, there are numerous unpredictable atmospheric fluctuations.
Uncertainties or errors in data can amplify as the models run realizations to try and predict the weather conditions.
Storm Path Uncertainty. Source:
National Hurricane Center | NOAA